Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 1423.708433 1561.651505 1702.156605 1855.700268 2018.489513 2185.663896 2370.041046
2025-05-18 1202.370894 1406.004476 1622.177681 1867.608915 2137.384980 2423.787742 2749.719206
2025-05-25 1048.173451 1287.803130 1550.301800 1856.820431 2202.545025 2578.153829 3014.787208
2025-06-01 950.886380 1218.228964 1518.864134 1878.043360 2291.575030 2749.030970 3289.553039
2025-06-08 851.056052 1134.976334 1462.272814 1861.683688 2330.201601 2856.906508 3488.253304
2025-06-15 799.279851 1102.915801 1460.312240 1904.144553 2432.711522 3034.628541 3764.355690
2025-06-22 736.986994 1052.613230 1431.942834 1911.169972 2490.314100 3157.999467 3976.184912
2025-06-29 676.755115 1000.171236 1396.884289 1906.437994 2530.869266 3259.140969 4160.509807
2025-07-06 598.696933 919.479580 1322.006905 1848.469901 2503.378475 3276.659740 4243.844397
2025-07-13 583.712364 919.982225 1348.387499 1915.395610 2627.642019 3475.300385 4542.627899
2025-07-20 556.215964 901.658931 1348.995690 1948.594326 2709.541288 3622.668908 4780.438482
2025-07-27 517.500073 865.472824 1324.239041 1947.639369 2747.534167 3715.857388 4952.631480
2025-08-03 475.530117 822.861159 1289.752762 1933.528816 2769.189395 3790.120124 5104.018457
2025-08-10 446.537823 796.998728 1276.389089 1946.012213 2824.091338 3905.417769 5306.182608
2025-08-17 411.789793 760.436860 1246.487413 1934.909907 2847.418269 3980.595929 5458.609285
2025-08-24 390.789203 742.958111 1241.867023 1956.740367 2912.779085 4108.191962 5676.092919
2025-08-31 359.170971 707.219867 1209.833692 1939.912645 2926.466623 4169.868764 5811.195112
2025-09-07 348.311349 703.054143 1222.256844 1983.585651 3019.706718 4332.656363 6073.320260
2025-09-14 327.553651 681.812703 1208.938476 1990.810798 3064.052964 4432.879023 6257.034822
2025-09-21 304.898045 656.006291 1187.708245 1985.944319 3091.476279 4510.962487 6412.724967
2025-09-28 269.535129 606.579543 1129.163080 1926.319864 3043.315050 4490.027029 6441.599083
2025-10-05 269.055055 616.531654 1160.367350 1995.156457 3170.211902 4697.245838 6762.616778
2025-10-12 260.072395 611.094247 1167.638440 2029.295222 3249.697879 4842.904143 7005.478764